S&P 500 Returns by Year (long and cash without leverage)

Year Long Term Signal Short Term Signal S&P 500
1999
+17%
+18.2%
+19.6%
2000
+7.2%
+18.1%
-10.1%
2001
+27.3%
+5.9%
-13.0%
2002
+6.7%
+22.5%
-23.4%
2003
+33.1%
+16.2%
+26.4%
2004
+5.6%
+13.9%
+9.0%
2005
+5.6%
+4.0%
+3.0%
2006
+16.4%
+18.9%
+13.6%
2007
+2.8%*
+11.3%
+3.5%

Statistics (since 12/31/98)*

Long Term Signal

Trades: 1.3 / yr
Winning Trades: 90%
Total Gain: +164%
Compound Annual Rate: +11.4%

Short Term Signal

Trades: 16 / yr
Winning Trades: 71%
Total Gain: +209%
Compound Annual Rate: +13.3%

S&P 500 (Buy and Hold)

Total Gain +19.5%
Compound Annual Rate: +2.0%

* End of day trades. No interest is added when in cash and no trading costs are included. Interest and dividends are excluded for these comparisons.

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